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The National Academies

ACRP Synthesis 11-03/Topic S03-01 [Final (Synthesis)]

Airport Aviation Activity Forecasting
[ ACRP 11-03 (Synthesis of Information Related to Airport Practices) ]

  Project Data
Funds: $40,000
Staff Responsibility: Gail R. Staba
Effective Date: 6/30/2006
Completion Date: 4/1/2007
Fiscal Year: 2006

TRB’s Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) Synthesis 2: Airport Aviation Activity Forecasting examines how airport forecasts are used and identifies common aviation metrics, aviation data sources, issues in data collection and preparation, and special data issues at nontowered airports.  The report also explores available forecasting methods, including the primary statistical methods; market share analysis; econometric modeling; and time series modeling.  In addition the report reviews forecast uncertainty, accuracy, issues of optimism bias, and options for resolving differences when multiple forecast are available.

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