The National Academies


RFQ: Demographic and Technological Trends Impacting the DMV of the Future

Posted Date: 12/18/2018

  Project Data
Funds: $90,000
Contract Time: 12 months
Staff Responsibility: William C. Rogers
   Phone: 202/334-1621
   Email: wrogers@nas.edu
RFP Close Date: 2/7/2019



The purpose of this request is to identify qualified research teams with the appropriate experience and expertise to conduct research related to demographic and technological trends impacting the departments of motor vehicles (DMVs).  It is expected that the research teams will be either private consultants, academics, or a consortium of both.




Motor vehicle departments across the United States and Canada are operating in a period of unprecedented change and uncertainty.  DMVs are contending with major social and technological trends that will impact how they are organized and how they function.  These trends include:

•    A wider range of options for consumers provided by transportation-on-demand services, such as Lyft and Uber, and shared mobility services such as Zipcar and bicycle and electric e-scooter rentals.
•    Increased development and deployment of connected and autonomous vehicles.
•    Greater integration of urban mobility options and internet connectivity. 
•    Changes in transportation patterns related to economic and socio-demographic factors.
•    Growing appreciation for the relationship between transportation and public health. 
•    Urban migration and shifts in mobility among age cohorts.
•    Greater recognition of the need for social equity in the provision of transportation services.
•    Increasing availability of cost-effective alternatives to internal combustion vehicles. 
•    Increasing numbers of natural disasters and the need for greater resilience in the transportation system.
•    Greater emphasis on active transportation—walking and cycling.

A recent TRB study looked at the anticipated impacts of just one of these areas: Connected and Autonomous Driving Systems (C/DVS)[1]. The research team surveyed 15 states that had to, or were planning to, modify motor vehicle codes and other existing laws to facilitate implementation of Connected and Autonomous Driving Systems.


These trends are advancing rapidly and DMVs are forecasting how to prepare for the changes to come while advancing their mission, generally framed by the principles of safety, service and security. In the absence of solid data, motor vehicle administrators want insights into possible future scenarios and how each might impact their business models. 




The objectives of this project are to:

  •   Identify future medium- and long-term scenarios that may result from the trends identified above, and
  •   For a variety of future scenarios, identify (a) the likely key impacts on DMVs, and (b) strategies and actions that motor vehicle administrators could consider in order to continue achieving their mission efficiently and effectively.

It is expected that the successful research team will need to consider the perspectives of, and consult with, experts and forward thinkers from a wide range of backgrounds beyond motor vehicle administrators, including technology, demographics, energy and the environment, sociology, planning, and providers of shared or on-demand transportation services. 


Although this research program does not set out to predict the future, it is important in developing a framework for future-oriented research to assess potential changes that could have significant effects on the fulfillment of driver and vehicle credentials in the context of a safe, secure, and equitable transportation system.



If you wish to be considered for this contract, please submit a letter of interest, no later than February 7, 2019, containing the following:


·         A description of your qualifications to successfully complete this work.

·         A proposed research plan to accomplish the stated objectives and tasks.


The entire letter of interest should be no longer than seven pages.  Please note that upon review of the letters of interest, one of two outcomes may result: (1) a contract may be offered solely on the basis of the letter of interest; or (2) a short list may be selected based on the letters of interest received, and each proposer on the short list will be asked to submit a more detailed proposal.


Letters of Interest should be submitted electronically in PDF to wrogers@nas.edu and slcampbell@nas.edu by 4:30 pm (EST) on February 7, 2019, using the reference: TRB/AAMVA Project 19-01 RFQ. 

[1] Web-Only Document 253: Implications of Connected and Automated Driving Systems, Tammy E. Trimble; Lisa Loftus-Otway; and Susanna Gallun. (Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Sciences, 2018.  https://www.nap.edu/catalog/25296/implications-of-connected-and-automated-driving-systems-vol-1-legal-landscape











Proposals are due not later than 4:30 p.m. on 2/7/2019.

This is a firm deadline, and extensions are not granted. In order to be considered for award, the agency's proposal accompanied by the executed, unmodified Liability Statement must be in our offices not later than the deadline shown, or the proposal will be rejected.

Liability Statement

The signature of an authorized representative of the proposing agency is required on the unaltered statement in order for TRB to accept the agency's proposal for consideration. Proposals submitted without this executed and unaltered statement by the proposal deadline will be summarily rejected. An executed, unaltered statement indicates the agency's intent and ability to execute a contract that includes the provisions in the statement.

Here is a printable version of the Liability Statement (pdf). A free copy of the Adobe Acrobat PDF reader is available at http://www.adobe.com.

General Notes

1. According to the provisions of Title 49, Code of Federal Regulations, Part 21, which relates to nondiscrimination in federally assisted programs, all parties are hereby notified that the contract entered into pursuant to this announcement will be awarded without discrimination on the grounds of race, color, religion, sex, national origin, or disability.

2. The essential features required in a proposal for research are detailed in the current brochure entitled "Information and Instructions for Preparing Proposals" (updated March 2018). Proposals must be prepared according to this document, and attention is directed specifically to Section V for mandatory requirements. Proposals that do not conform with these requirements will be rejected. This brochure is available here.

3. The total funds available are made known in the project statement, and line items of the budget are examined to determine the reasonableness of the allocation of funds to the various tasks. If the proposed total cost exceeds the funds available, the proposal is rejected.

4. All proposals become the property of the Transportation Research Board. Final disposition will be made according to the policies thereof, including the right to reject all proposals.

5. Potential proposers should understand that follow-on activities for this project may be carried out through either a contract amendment modifying the scope of work with additional time and funds, or through a new contract (via sole source, full, or restrictive competition).

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